Estimating Active Cases of COVID-19
Author(s)
Álvarez, Javier; Baquero, Carlos; Cabana, Elisa; Champati, Jaya Prakash; Fernández Anta, Antonio; Frey, Davide; Garcia-Agundez, Augusto; Georgiou, Chryssis; Goessens, Mathieu; Hernández, Harold; Lillo, Rosa Elvira; Menezes, Raquel; Moreno, Raúl; Nicolaou, Nicolas; Ojo, Oluwasegun; Ortega, Antonio; Rufino, Jesús; Stavrakis, Efstathios; Jeevan, Govind; Glorioso, ChristinDate
2021-08-15Abstract
Having accurate and timely data on confirmed active COVID-19 cases is challenging, since it depends on
testing capacity and the availability of an appropriate infrastructure to perform tests and aggregate their
results. In this paper, we propose methods to estimate the number of active cases of COVID-19 from the
official data (of confirmed cases and fatalities) and from survey data. We show that the latter is a viable option in countries with reduced testing capacity or suboptimal infrastructures.
